Returns to Scale

We dig into the 3D production function to figure out why doubling a factory isn't the same as building a new one — and how increasing, decreasing, and constant returns to scale all shake out.

This time we’re looking at the three-dimensional production function $Q = f(K,L)$ instead of the isoquant.

Let me toss out a question. Output $Q$ depends on capital $K$ and labor $L$. Right?! So here’s the question.

If we crank both $K$ and $L$ up by 2x, does $Q$ also become 2x?!?!?!

Put more simply — if there was 1 factory and now there are 2 factories, does output double?!?! Feels like it should, right?!?!!!

OK let me rephrase the question. Samsung’s semiconductor fab in Suwon doubles all its machinery and equipment, and also doubles its labor. Meanwhile, let’s say Hynix builds one more semiconductor fab somewhere else over in Icheon.

Which one ends up with a bigger jump in $Q$?

You’re not gonna tell me both come out to exactly 2x, right???? Obviously, scaling up one existing factory to twice its size is more effective in terms of cost reduction — i.e. Samsung pulls off bigger cost reduction than Hynix does. Let’s look at this cost reduction on a graph.

Isoquants Q_0, 2Q_0 and 3Q_0 on L and K axes. Red dotted lines mark (L_0, K_0) on the Q_0 curve and (2L_0, 2K_0), which lands on the 3Q_0 curve

This kind of picture is what successful cost reduction looks like, right?@??@

Ah, OK — now I’m getting the feel for the whole thing. Looks like we can also draw the break-even case and the case where costs actually got worse.

The same drawing, but now (2L_0, 2K_0) lands exactly on the 2Q_0 curve

This one’s the break-even picture.

The same drawing again, but now (2L_0, 2K_0) falls short of the 2Q_0 curve

And this one’s the case where you ate even more of a loss.

Where does the cause of all this live…? Isn’t it efficiency???

Those Q_0, 2Q_0, 3Q_0 isoquants are curves you get by slicing the 3D production function parallel to the $L$–$K$ plane, and the reason Q_0, 2Q_0, 3Q_0 end up packed close together — that’s because of this.

Q plotted against L: the curve bends upward along a red stretch near the origin, then flattens out, peaks and falls off

This red part!!!!! This part where efficiency just keeps rising like crazy@@ Here, even if you cut planes Q_0, 2Q_0, 3Q_0 perpendicular to the $Q$ axis, they’re gonna be packed in tight.

<Increasing returns to scale>

Then the cost-reduction failure must be out where the graph flattens out. In this part, Q_0, 2Q_0, 3Q_0 are gonna be spread out wide and roomy, and this is the region where the rate of efficiency increase was gradually slowing down@@@ So it all fits together like this!!!!

<Decreasing returns to scale>

Increasing returns to scale, decreasing returns to scale, constant returns to scale — these all become way easier to talk about if the production function happens to be a Cobb-Douglas production function.

If $L$ and $K$ are just sitting there as a product (whatever the exponents are)

Q = AK^α L^β, the Cobb-Douglas form

then the discussion gets easy.

Say the output when the inputs are L_0, K_0 is Q_0.

Q_0 = AK_0^α L_0^β, the output at the starting inputs

Now, let’s multiply each input by $\lambda$. Plug in \lambda L_0, \lambda K_0. Call the output at this point Q_1.

The scaling step: Q_1 = A(λK_0)^α(λL_0)^β = λ^α λ^β Q_0, because the red part A(K_0)^α(L_0)^β is Q_0; so Q_1 = λ^(α+β) Q_0

If you’ve got a Cobb-Douglas shape, you can tell — straight from $\alpha$ and $\beta$ alone — whether returns to scale are increasing, decreasing, or constant.

The summary: alpha + beta greater than 1 means increasing returns to scale, equal to 1 means constant returns to scale, less than 1 means decreasing returns to scale

Ah but — Cobb-Douglas is nice and easy, and because of that exact niceness, it can’t really explain a lot of things. So in econ lectures they call it the undergrad model.

Apparently — once you’re past the undergrad level, Cobb-Douglas doesn’t get used much~

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